Barcelona vs Paris Saint-Germain: A four-year wait and the focus on the possibility of a turnaround
Barcelona will play against Paris Saint-Germain at home. In the first leg match, Barcelona defeated Paris with a score of 3-2. The goal of this match is clear: to complete the double kill, advance to the Champions League final four, and wash away the shame of the past four years.
Since the 2018-19 season, it has been four seasons since Barcelona failed to break into the top four of the Champions League. Especially in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons, Barcelona could only rank third in the Champions League group stage for two consecutive years, thus being demoted to participate in the Europa League. For such a strong team, this result is unbearable.
In this season's Champions League, Barcelona made it out as the group leader, then eliminated Napoli with a total score of 4-2 in the 1/8 finals, and won 3-2 in the first leg away against Paris led by Mbappé and Dembele. Now back to the Montjuic Olympic Stadium, Barcelona's goal is clear: defeat Paris, wash away the shame of the past four years, and return to the Champions League top four.
According to historical records, Paris Saint-Germain has zero success rate in terms of turnaround - in the past six European match knockouts, when they lose in the first leg, they never successfully turned around, including:
-In the 1984-85 season of the UEFA Cup quarter-finals, Paris lost 2-4 in the first leg to Videoton, and lost 0-1 in the second leg.
-In the 1989-90 season of the UEFA Cup 1/16 finals, Paris lost 0-1 in the first leg to Juventus and lost again in the second leg with 1-2.
-1994-95 Champions League semi-finals, Paris was eliminated by AC Milan with a score of 0-2, and 0-1.
-2014-15 Champions League quarter-finals, Paris lost 1-3 to Barcelona, and again 0-2 in the second leg.
-2020-21 Champions League semi-finals, Paris lost 1-2 in the first leg to Manchester City, and again 0-2 in the second leg.
-2022-23 Champions League 1/8 finals, Paris was double-killed by Bayern with a score of 0-1, 0-2.
In favorable circumstances, Paris often performs excellently; but in adversity, especially on the European war stage, Paris always underperforms — whether it's in the Champions League or the League Cup, under the previous first leg losing situation, there's a 100% elimination rate. Looking to the future, for Barcelona, Paris' 0% historical turnaround probability means good news.
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